The “ensemble” of models is completely meaningless, statistically

Friends,

Maybe someday, I will write a great comment upon the problem of Global Warming. And maybe then, my comment will rise to the level of a sticky post.

But, whether you wait for me to write a great comment, or you go read this great comment (post), remember global warming has been going on for thousands of years.

Profiting off of the fear of climate change (global warming) is a very recent marketing strategy.

Enjoy,

Ghost.

Watts Up With That?

This  comment from rgbatduke, who is Robert G. Brown at the Duke University Physics Department on the No significant warming for 17 years 4 months thread. It has gained quite a bit of attention because it speaks clearly to truth. So that all readers can benefit, I’m elevating it to a full post

rgbatduke says:

June 13, 2013 at 7:20 am

Saying that we need to wait for a certain interval in order to conclude that “the models are wrong” is dangerous and incorrect for two reasons. First — and this is a point that is stunningly ignored — there are a lot of different models out there, all supposedly built on top of physics, and yet no two of them give anywhere near the same results!

This is reflected in the graphs Monckton publishes above, where the AR5 trend line is the average over all of these models and in spite of the number of…

View original post 2,419 more words

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